Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.065599 0.070458 0.075521 0.081194 0.087382 0.093935 0.101407
2025-12-07 0.054971 0.061876 0.069481 0.078508 0.088965 0.100741 0.115069
2025-12-14 0.046935 0.054788 0.063822 0.075044 0.088695 0.104869 0.125643
2025-12-21 0.041969 0.050483 0.060638 0.073745 0.090367 0.110946 0.138668
2025-12-28 0.039143 0.048336 0.059654 0.074771 0.094674 0.120323 0.156438
2026-01-04 0.036687 0.046344 0.058567 0.075391 0.098292 0.128890 0.173742
2026-01-11 0.034136 0.043973 0.056723 0.074738 0.099989 0.134824 0.187774
2026-01-18 0.032089 0.042077 0.055307 0.074456 0.102037 0.141247 0.202926
2026-01-25 0.029963 0.039904 0.053328 0.073177 0.102468 0.145249 0.214679
2026-02-01 0.027829 0.037573 0.050955 0.071118 0.101527 0.147034 0.223014
2026-02-08 0.026019 0.035578 0.048914 0.069368 0.100855 0.149076 0.231809
2026-02-15 0.024488 0.033888 0.047197 0.067958 0.100547 0.151577 0.241469
2026-02-22 0.023612 0.033121 0.046813 0.068586 0.103538 0.159694 0.261704
2026-03-01 0.022135 0.031395 0.044915 0.066758 0.102483 0.161130 0.270469
2026-03-08 0.020549 0.029427 0.042546 0.064036 0.099765 0.159543 0.273596
2026-03-15 0.019512 0.028234 0.041294 0.063012 0.099774 0.162583 0.285543
2026-03-22 0.019006 0.027824 0.041220 0.063883 0.103030 0.171531 0.309655
2026-03-29 0.018456 0.027313 0.040955 0.064405 0.105699 0.179618 0.332958
2026-04-05 0.017713 0.026461 0.040097 0.063866 0.106434 0.184180 0.349589
2026-04-12 0.017085 0.025762 0.039446 0.063633 0.107686 0.189788 0.368996
2026-04-19 0.016332 0.024825 0.038359 0.062572 0.107332 0.192251 0.381888
2026-04-26 0.015499 0.023725 0.036950 0.060863 0.105643 0.191946 0.388606
2026-05-03 0.014766 0.022759 0.035723 0.059409 0.104338 0.192291 0.396803